Publikacja:

Sensitivity to interventions and the relationship with numeracy

Data

2020
Artykuł
 
cris.legacyid6013
cris.virtual.journalance#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#
cris.virtualsource.journalancec5e604c2-f6bd-4f19-914c-e01c8ff3c6c3
dc.abstract.plThe main goal of this research was to investigate whether people exhibit algorithm aversion—a tendency to avoid using an imperfect algorithm even if it outperforms human judgments—in the case of estimating students’ percentile scores on a standardized math test. We also explored the relationships between numeracy and algorithm aversion and tested two interventions aimed at reducing algorithm aversion. In two studies, we asked participants to estimate the percentiles of 46 real 15-year-old Polish students on a standardized math test. Participants were offered the opportunity to compare their estimates with the forecasts of an algorithm—a statistical model that predicted real percentile scores based on fi ve explanatory variables (i.e., gender, repeating a class, the number of pages read before the exam, the frequency of playing online games, socioeconomic status). Across two studies, we demonstrated that even though the predictions of the statistical model were closer to students’ percentile scores, participants were less likely to rely on the statistical model predictions in making forecasts. We also found that higher statistical numeracy was related to a higher reluctance to use the algorithm. In Study 2, we introduced two interventions to reduce algorithm aversion. Depending on the experimental condition, participants either received feedback on statistical model predictions or were provided with a detailed description of the statistical model. We found that people, especially those with higher statistical numeracy, avoided using the imperfect algorithm even though it outperformed human judgments. Interestingly, a simple intervention that explained how the statistical model works led to better performance in an estimation task.
dc.contributor.affiliationSWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities
dc.contributor.affiliationSWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities
dc.contributor.affiliationSWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities
dc.contributor.authorMichał Dzieżyk
dc.contributor.authorWeronika Hetmańczuk
dc.contributor.authorJakub Traczyk
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-28T14:26:41Z
dc.date.available2025-07-28T14:26:41Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.date.published12//2020
dc.description.issue34
dc.description.physical67-90
dc.description.volume2020
dc.identifier.doi10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.147
dc.identifier.issn1733-0092
dc.identifier.urihttps://repozytorium.kozminski.edu.pl/handle/item/3711
dc.languageen
dc.relation.ispartofCollective and Individual Decisions
dc.relation.pages67-90
dc.rightsCC-BY-4.0
dc.subjectawersja do algorytmów
dc.subjectzdolności numeryczne
dc.subjectoszacowanie
dc.subjectwspomaganie decyzji
dc.subjectdobre decyzje
dc.subtypeOriginal
dc.title

Sensitivity to interventions and the relationship with numeracy

dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication